Central Cordoba SdE vs CA Lanus: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 31' — Central Cordoba SdE took the lead: 1-0. An own goal by Tomás Guidara. 41' — CA Lanus equalised: 1-1. Eduardo Salvio scored it. Half time: 1-1.
After 46' the momentum swung to CA Lanus. After 91' the momentum swung to Central Cordoba SdE. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Central Cordoba SdEDrawCA Lanus
Pre-match model estimate: Central Cordoba SdE 19%, draw 25%, CA Lanus 56%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Central Cordoba SdECA Lanus
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min3922
Last 15 min2528
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Central Cordoba SdE win in 19% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and CA Lanus win 56%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 0-1 (14%); both teams score in 44%. About 10.4 corners on average. About 4.6 yellow cards on average; a red card in 23%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Central Cordoba SdE took the lead on 31 minutes thanks to an own goal from Tomás Guidara. CA Lanus drew level at 1-1 in the 41st minute: Eduardo Salvio, set up by Marcelino Moreno. Half-time: 1-1 between Central Cordoba SdE and CA Lanus.
From the 46th minute the pressure shifted towards CA Lanus. Central Cordoba SdE took over after the 91st minute, pinning CA Lanus back.
The statistics
The shot count read 1-6, 1-4 on target. Corners finished 3-8. Dangerous attacks: 48 for CA Lanus, 27 for Central Cordoba SdE.
The bigger picture
Central Cordoba SdE move on to 17 points. The result takes CA Lanus to 25 points. 3 defeats in a row come to an end for Central Cordoba SdE. CA Lanus are now unbeaten in 9 matches. Across 5 meetings in our records: 1 win for Central Cordoba SdE, 1 win for CA Lanus and 3 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
