One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
USL DunkerqueKick-off0-0En Avant Guingamp
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): USL Dunkerque win in 34% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and En Avant Guingamp win 41%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 57%. About 10.0 corners on average. About 4.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 18%.
En Avant Guingamp were beaten 3-0 by a rampant USL Dunkerque. The half-time score was 1-0. Jordan Morel was our player of the match, rated 7.4 by the ScoreMondo model for USL Dunkerque. Friday 6 November, Stade Marcel-Tribut (Dunkerque): USL Dunkerque against En Avant Guingamp on matchday 12, kick-off 19:00.
How the match unfolded
USL Dunkerque took the lead on 17 minutes thanks to Jordan Morel. Half-time: 1-0, USL Dunkerque in front.
Souleymane Keita made it 2-0 for USL Dunkerque after 66 minutes. En Avant Guingamp had a goal ruled out in the 69th minute. Just 4 minutes later (73') USL Dunkerque extended their lead to 3-0, Khalil Ayari on target.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 19-14, 6-6 on target. Corners finished 6-1. Fouls: 14 by USL Dunkerque, 15 by En Avant Guingamp; offsides 0-1.
The table had USL Dunkerque 12th (12 points) and En Avant Guingamp 9th (14 points) going into the game. Before kick-off, USL Dunkerque's last 5 matches had brought 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats. USL Dunkerque lost 1-0 away to Rodez in their last match. En Avant Guingamp came into the match with 3 wins and 2 defeats from their last 5 matches — scoring in 3 straight games. Their most recent game was a 3-0 win over AS Saint-Etienne for En Avant Guingamp. USL Dunkerque and En Avant Guingamp have met 10 times in our records: 3 wins for USL Dunkerque, 4 for En Avant Guingamp and 3 draws. When they last met, on 6 February 2026, it ended 0-0. There have been 19 goals in the 10 meetings, 1.9 a game. Referee Pierre Gaillouste showed 2 yellow cards; the average in our records is 3.7 yellows per game over 44 matches.
What the result means
The result lifts USL Dunkerque to 10th with 15 points, up from 12th. En Avant Guingamp drop from 9th to 11th on 14 points. En Avant Guingamp's run of 3 matches with a goal comes to an end.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
