Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
SD Compostela beat UD Llanera 3-1 in Segunda Federacion, Group V.
In our records UD Llanera and SD Compostela have met 4 times: UD Llanera won 1, 1 ended level and SD Compostela won 2.
Their latest meeting (): UD Llanera 1-1 SD Compostela.
Match details
Coaches
Chuchi Collado · Secho
Match decisions & VAR
38'Penalty awardedSD CompostelaDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: SD Compostela won 1-3.
Story
UD Llanera vs SD Compostela: the story of the match
24' — SD Compostela took the lead: 0-1. 39' — SD Compostela extended the lead: 0-2. Half time: 0-2.
80' — UD Llanera pulled one back: 1-2. 86' — SD Compostela extended the lead: 1-3. It came in the closing minutes. SD Compostela won 1-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
UD LlaneraDrawSD Compostela
Pre-match model estimate: UD Llanera 39%, draw 26%, SD Compostela 35%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): UD Llanera win in 39% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and SD Compostela win 35%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 51%. About 9.1 corners on average. About 5.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 23%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.