FC Halifax Town vs Nottingham Forest U21: the story of the match
10' — Nottingham Forest U21 took the lead: 0-1. S. Samuels scored it. 29' — Nottingham Forest U21 extended the lead: 0-2. F. Smith scored from the penalty spot. 43' — FC Halifax Town pulled one back: 1-2. An own goal by D. Modupe. Half time: 1-2.
51' — Nottingham Forest U21 extended the lead: 1-3. J. Powell scored from the penalty spot. 67' — FC Halifax Town pulled one back: 2-3. Z. Gilsenan scored it. 76' — FC Halifax Town equalised: 3-3. A. Morgan-Smith scored it. 90' — Nottingham Forest U21 went back in front: 3-4. K. Bradshaw scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Nottingham Forest U21 won 3-4. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC Halifax TownDrawNottingham Forest U21
Pre-match model estimate: FC Halifax Town 62%, draw 19%, Nottingham Forest U21 19%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Halifax Town win in 62% of the simulated matches, 19% end level and Nottingham Forest U21 win 19%. Average goals 3.5; the most likely score is 2-1 (10%); both teams score in 62%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Halifax Town – Nottingham Forest U21 match report
Nottingham Forest U21 took the lead in the 10th minute: S. Samuels, set up by A. Bott. Nottingham Forest U21 extended their lead to 2-0 in the 29th minute: F. Smith from the penalty spot. FC Halifax Town pulled one back to make it 1-2 on 43 minutes thanks to an own goal from D. Modupe. Half-time: 1-2, Nottingham Forest U21 in front.
J. Powell made it 3-1 for Nottingham Forest U21 after 51 minutes. FC Halifax Town pulled one back to make it 2-3 on 67 minutes thanks to Z. Gilsenan. FC Halifax Town drew level at 3-3 on 76 minutes thanks to A. Morgan-Smith. Nottingham Forest U21 went 4-3 up in the 90th minute: K. Bradshaw, set up by B. McClure.
What the numbers say
On target it was 7-5, from 11 and 5 attempts respectively. Corners finished 11-1. Dangerous attacks: 67 for FC Halifax Town, 33 for Nottingham Forest U21.
The bigger picture
FC Halifax Town have now scored in 11 consecutive matches.
Coming up
Next up for FC Halifax Town: away at Kidderminster Harriers FC on Saturday 14 November. Nottingham Forest U21's next match is away to Grimsby Town on 10 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
