Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Truro City FC beat Slough Town FC 3-1 in National League South.
Venue: Truro Sports Hub.
In our records Truro City FC and Slough Town FC have met 8 times: Truro City FC won 4, 2 ended level and Slough Town FC won 2.
Their latest meeting (): Truro City FC 2-0 Slough Town FC.
Match details
Venue
Truro Sports Hub
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Truro City FC won 3-1.
Story
Truro City FC vs Slough Town FC: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 24' — Slough Town FC took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1, with Truro City FC applying more of the pressure.
52' — Truro City FC equalised: 1-1. 54' — Truro City FC completed the turnaround: 2-1. 75' — Truro City FC extended the lead: 3-1. Truro City FC won 3-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Truro City FCDrawSlough Town FC
Pre-match model estimate: Truro City FC 77%, draw 14%, Slough Town FC 9%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Truro City FCSlough Town FC
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min1222
Last 15 min128
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Truro City FC win in 77% of the simulated matches, 14% end level and Slough Town FC win 9%. Average goals 3.6; the most likely score is 2-0 (11%); both teams score in 53%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Slough Town FC took the lead on 24 minutes. Slough Town FC led 1-0 at the break, although Truro City FC had applied more pressure.
Truro City FC drew level at 1-1 on 52 minutes. Just 2 minutes later (54') Truro City FC completed the turnaround at 2-1. Truro City FC extended their lead to 3-1 on 75 minutes.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 7-1, 3-1 on target. Corners finished 5-1. Truro City FC produced 42 dangerous attacks to Slough Town FC's 17.
What it means
The result lifts Truro City FC to 2nd with 27 points, up from 3rd. Slough Town FC stay 24th on 4 points. It is now 4 straight defeats for Slough Town FC.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
National League South
