Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Ebbsfleet United FC beat Maidstone United FC 3-1 in National League South.
Venue: Gallagher Stadium.
In our records Maidstone United FC and Ebbsfleet United FC have met 10 times: Maidstone United FC won 4, 2 ended level and Ebbsfleet United FC won 4.
Their latest meeting (): Maidstone United FC 3-0 Ebbsfleet United FC.
Match details
Venue
Gallagher Stadium, Maidstone
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Ebbsfleet United FC won 1-3.
Story
Maidstone United FC vs Ebbsfleet United FC: the story of the match
Ebbsfleet United FC started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 8' — Ebbsfleet United FC took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1, with Ebbsfleet United FC applying more of the pressure.
67' — Ebbsfleet United FC extended the lead: 0-2. 83' — Maidstone United FC pulled one back: 1-2. 90' — Ebbsfleet United FC extended the lead: 1-3. It came in the closing minutes. After 46' the momentum swung to Maidstone United FC. Ebbsfleet United FC won 1-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Maidstone United FCDrawEbbsfleet United FC
Pre-match model estimate: Maidstone United FC 32%, draw 25%, Ebbsfleet United FC 43%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Maidstone United FCEbbsfleet United FC
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min1253
Last 15 min4628
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Maidstone United FC win in 32% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Ebbsfleet United FC win 43%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 55%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Maidstone United FC – Ebbsfleet United FC match report
The early pressure came from Ebbsfleet United FC, who controlled the opening 15 minutes. Ebbsfleet United FC took the lead on 8 minutes. Half-time: 0-1, Ebbsfleet United FC in front.
Maidstone United FC took over after the 46th minute, pinning Ebbsfleet United FC back. Ebbsfleet United FC extended their lead to 2-0 on 67 minutes. Maidstone United FC pulled one back to make it 1-2 on 83 minutes. Late on, in the 90th minute, Ebbsfleet United FC extended their lead to 3-1.
Match statistics
The shot count read 6-8, 3-4 on target. Maidstone United FC won 5 corners, Ebbsfleet United FC 6. Maidstone United FC produced 53 dangerous attacks to Ebbsfleet United FC's 38.
The bigger picture
Maidstone United FC drop from 1st to 3rd on 26 points. The result lifts Ebbsfleet United FC to 1st with 28 points, up from 2nd. Ebbsfleet United FC ended Maidstone United FC's unbeaten run of 3 matches. Ebbsfleet United FC extend their unbeaten run to 7 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
National League South
