Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Farnham Town FC beat Chesham United FC 4-2 in National League South.
Venue: The Meadow.
Match details
Venue
The Meadow, Chesham
Match decisions & VAR
35'Penalty awardedFarnham Town FCDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Farnham Town FC won 2-4.
Story
Chesham United FC vs Farnham Town FC: the story of the match
Farnham Town FC started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 23' — Chesham United FC took the lead: 1-0. 37' — Farnham Town FC equalised: 1-1. 41' — Farnham Town FC completed the turnaround: 1-2. Half time: 1-2, with Farnham Town FC applying more of the pressure.
57' — Farnham Town FC extended the lead: 1-3. 62' — Chesham United FC pulled one back: 2-3. 90' — Farnham Town FC extended the lead: 2-4. It came in the closing minutes. After 61' the momentum swung to Chesham United FC. Farnham Town FC won 2-4. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Chesham United FCDrawFarnham Town FC
Pre-match model estimate: Chesham United FC 36%, draw 22%, Farnham Town FC 42%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Chesham United FCFarnham Town FC
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min9453
Last 15 min7739
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Chesham United FC win in 36% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Farnham Town FC win 42%. Average goals 3.5; the most likely score is 1-1 (9%); both teams score in 68%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
The early pressure came from Farnham Town FC, who controlled the opening 15 minutes. Chesham United FC took the lead on 23 minutes. Farnham Town FC drew level at 1-1 on 37 minutes. Farnham Town FC completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 41 minutes. It was Chesham United FC 1-2 Farnham Town FC at half-time; Farnham Town FC had the better of the pressure.
Farnham Town FC extended their lead to 3-1 on 57 minutes. Chesham United FC took over after the 61st minute, pinning Farnham Town FC back. Just 5 minutes later (62') Chesham United FC pulled one back to make it 2-3. Farnham Town FC extended their lead to 4-2 on 90 minutes.
The statistics
On target it was 5-6, from 12 and 10 attempts respectively. Corners finished 6-1. Chesham United FC produced 119 dangerous attacks to Farnham Town FC's 78.
What the result means
Chesham United FC drop from 20th to 21st on 10 points. The result lifts Farnham Town FC to 6th with 23 points, up from 9th. Chesham United FC have now gone 5 matches without a win. Farnham Town FC have now scored in 12 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
National League South
