Treviso vs Novara (Serie C – Group A) kick-off time: 08/11/2026 16:30
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- TrevisoLWWLD
- NovaraLDLWLNo win in 3 matches
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Treviso and Novara meet on in Serie C – Group A.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Treviso (43%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Treviso vs Novara: preview
Treviso have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. 3 of Treviso's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4. Novara have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. Novara have not won in 3 matches. 4 of Novara's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4.
Our pre-match model estimate: Treviso 43%, draw 33%, Novara 24%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): Treviso win in 43% of the simulated matches, 33% end level and Novara win 24%. Average goals 1.8; the most likely score is 1-0 (18%); both teams score in 33%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
