47'Goal disallowedCambrian United FCDecision · Score 2-2
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Airbus UK Broughton won 2-3.
Story
Cambrian United FC vs Airbus UK Broughton: the story of the match
6' — Cambrian United FC took the lead: 1-0. 38' — Cambrian United FC extended the lead: 2-0. 45' — Airbus UK Broughton pulled one back: 2-1. Half time: 2-1.
47' — Airbus UK Broughton equalised: 2-2. 55' — Airbus UK Broughton completed the turnaround: 2-3. Airbus UK Broughton won 2-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Cambrian United FCDrawAirbus UK Broughton
Pre-match model estimate: Cambrian United FC 30%, draw 21%, Airbus UK Broughton 49%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Cambrian United FC win in 30% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and Airbus UK Broughton win 49%. Average goals 3.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (9%); both teams score in 68%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Cambrian United FC – Airbus UK Broughton match report
Cambrian United FC took the lead on 6 minutes. Cambrian United FC extended their lead to 2-0 on 38 minutes. Airbus UK Broughton pulled one back to make it 2-1 on 45 minutes. Cambrian United FC led 2-1 at the break.
The officials disallowed a Cambrian United FC goal on 47 minutes. Airbus UK Broughton drew level at 2-2 on 47 minutes. Airbus UK Broughton completed the turnaround at 3-2 on 55 minutes.
Match statistics
Corners finished 3-5.
What it means
Cambrian United FC remain 9th, now with 18 points. Airbus UK Broughton climb from 8th to 7th on 24 points. Airbus UK Broughton have now scored in 6 consecutive matches.
Cymru Premier
