Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Colwyn Bay FC and Cardiff Metropolitan University FC drew 2-2 in Cymru Premier.
Venue: Llanelian Road.
Referee: M. James.
In our records Colwyn Bay FC and Cardiff Metropolitan University FC have met 6 times: Colwyn Bay FC won 2, 2 ended level and Cardiff Metropolitan University FC won 2.
Their latest meeting (): Colwyn Bay FC 0-0 Cardiff Metropolitan University FC.
73'Goal disallowedColwyn Bay FCDecision · Score 2-2
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 2-2.
Story
Colwyn Bay FC vs Cardiff Metropolitan University FC: the story of the match
21' — Cardiff Metropolitan University FC took the lead: 0-1. 35' — Colwyn Bay FC had a player sent off. Half time: 0-1.
48' — Colwyn Bay FC equalised: 1-1. 62' — Colwyn Bay FC completed the turnaround: 2-1. 73' — Cardiff Metropolitan University FC equalised: 2-2. The match ended 2-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Colwyn Bay FCDrawCardiff Metropolitan University FC
Pre-match model estimate: Colwyn Bay FC 59%, draw 22%, Cardiff Metropolitan University FC 19%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Colwyn Bay FC win in 59% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Cardiff Metropolitan University FC win 19%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-0 (12%); both teams score in 51%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Colwyn Bay FC – Cardiff Metropolitan University FC match report
Cardiff Metropolitan University FC took the lead on 21 minutes. Colwyn Bay FC were a man down from the 35th minute. Cardiff Metropolitan University FC led 1-0 at the break.
Colwyn Bay FC drew level at 1-1 on 48 minutes. Colwyn Bay FC completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 62 minutes. Colwyn Bay FC had a goal ruled out in the 73rd minute. Cardiff Metropolitan University FC drew level at 2-2 on 73 minutes.
The statistics
Corners finished 6-0.
The bigger picture
Colwyn Bay FC stay 5th on 26 points. Cardiff Metropolitan University FC drop from 7th to 8th on 22 points. Cardiff Metropolitan University FC have now scored in 6 consecutive matches. Across 7 meetings in our records: 2 wins for Colwyn Bay FC, 2 wins for Cardiff Metropolitan University FC and 3 draws.
Next fixtures
Next up for Colwyn Bay FC: home to Cambrian United FC on Friday 30 October. Cardiff Metropolitan University FC's next match is at home against Penybont FC on 30 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Cymru Premier
