Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 25' — Torino took the lead: 1-0. Ché Adams scored it. Half time: 1-0, with FC Como applying more of the pressure.
82' — FC Como equalised: 1-1. Jacobo Ramón scored it. 88' — FC Como completed the turnaround: 1-2. Nico Paz scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — FC Como extended the lead: 1-3. Martin Baturina scored it. It came in the closing minutes. FC Como won 1-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
TorinoDrawFC Como
Pre-match model estimate: Torino 17%, draw 22%, FC Como 61%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
TorinoFC Como
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min00
Last 15 min2242
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Torino win in 17% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and FC Como win 61%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 0-1 (11%); both teams score in 50%. About 9.4 corners on average. About 3.7 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Como had a goal ruled out in the 17th minute. Torino took the lead on 25 minutes thanks to Ché Adams. It was Torino 1-0 FC Como at half-time; FC Como had the better of the pressure.
FC Como drew level at 1-1 on 82 minutes thanks to Jacobo Ramón. Just 6 minutes later (88') FC Como completed the turnaround at 2-1, Nico Paz on target. FC Como extended their lead to 3-1 in the 90th minute: Martin Baturina.
Match statistics
Torino won 5 corners, FC Como 6.
The bigger picture
Torino stay 8th on 13 points. FC Como remain 4th, now with 20 points. FC Como ended Torino's unbeaten run of 4 matches. FC Como have now won 4 in a row.
What’s next
Torino visit Frosinone Calcio next, on 1 November in Serie A. Next up for FC Como: home to Venezia on Sunday 1 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie A
