Lazio started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 3' — Lazio took the lead: 0-1. Kenneth Taylor scored it. 8' — Sassuolo equalised: 1-1. Kristian Thorstvedt scored it. 14' — Lazio went back in front: 1-2. Romano Floriani scored it. 16' — Lazio extended the lead: 1-3. Gustav Isaksen scored it. 31' — Kristian Thorstvedt of Sassuolo was sent off. 43' — Sassuolo pulled one back: 2-3. Sebastiano Esposito scored it. 45' — Lazio extended the lead: 2-4. Mattia Zaccagni scored it. Half time: 2-4, with Sassuolo applying more of the pressure.
56' — Lazio extended the lead: 2-5. Tijjani Noslin scored it. 65' — Lazio extended the lead: 2-6. Tijjani Noslin scored it. After 46' the momentum swung to Lazio. Lazio won 2-6.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
SassuoloDrawLazio
Pre-match model estimate: Sassuolo 28%, draw 25%, Lazio 47%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
SassuoloLazio
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min220
Last 15 min4465
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Sassuolo win in 28% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Lazio win 47%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 58%. About 9.8 corners on average. About 3.6 yellow cards on average; a red card in 17%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Sassuolo – Lazio match report
Updated:
Sassuolo were beaten 6-2 by a rampant Lazio. Lazio owed a lot to Tijjani Noslin, who struck twice. It was 2-4 at half-time.
The story of the match
Lazio started on the front foot, pressing for the first 15 minutes. Lazio took the lead on 3 minutes thanks to Kenneth Taylor. Sassuolo drew level at 1-1 on 8 minutes thanks to Kristian Thorstvedt. Lazio went 2-1 up in the 14th minute: Romano Floriani. Lazio extended their lead to 3-1 on 16 minutes thanks to Gustav Isaksen, set up by Kenneth Taylor.
A Lazio goal stood after a VAR check in the 17th minute. Sassuolo had a player sent off on 31 minutes: Kristian Thorstvedt. The officials disallowed a Sassuolo goal on 41 minutes. Sassuolo had a goal ruled out in the 41st minute. Sassuolo pulled one back to make it 2-3 in the 43rd minute: Sebastiano Esposito, set up by Simone Cinquegrano.
Lazio extended their lead to 4-2 in the 45th minute: Mattia Zaccagni. Half-time: 2-4, Lazio in front.
From the 46th minute the pressure shifted towards Lazio. After a review on 50 minutes, Lazio were given a penalty. Lazio extended their lead to 5-2 in the 56th minute: Tijjani Noslin. Tijjani Noslin made it 6-2 for Lazio after 65 minutes, set up by Fisayo Dele-Bashiru. The officials disallowed a Lazio goal on 77 minutes.
Match statistics
Sassuolo had 9 shots (3 on target) to Lazio's 12 (8). Dangerous attacks: 49 for Lazio, 28 for Sassuolo.
The bigger picture
Sassuolo remain 14th, now with 8 points. Lazio climb from 2nd to 1st on 25 points. The wait for a win goes on for Sassuolo: 5 matches now. That is 4 straight wins for Lazio.
Coming up
Sassuolo host Fiorentina next, on 2 November in Serie A. Next up for Lazio: home to Cagliari on Sunday 1 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie A
