Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Team Altamura and AS Gubbio drew 0-0 in Coppa Italia Serie C, Knockout stage.
Match decisions & VAR
51'Review overVAR review · red cardDecision
85'Review overAS GubbioVAR review · red cardDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 0-0.
Story
Team Altamura vs AS Gubbio: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. Half time: 0-0.
After 91' the momentum swung to Team Altamura. The match ended 0-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Team AltamuraDrawAS Gubbio
Pre-match model estimate: Team Altamura 46%, draw 27%, AS Gubbio 27%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Team AltamuraAS Gubbio
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min7563
Last 15 min7658
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Team Altamura win in 46% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and AS Gubbio win 27%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-0 (13%); both teams score in 47%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.