Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Savoia 1908 beat Sorrento Calcio 1945 2-0 in Coppa Italia Serie C, Knockout stage.
In our records Savoia 1908 and Sorrento Calcio 1945 have met 2 times: Savoia 1908 won 2, 0 ended level and Sorrento Calcio 1945 won 0.
Their latest meeting (): Sorrento Calcio 1945 2-3 Savoia 1908.
Match decisions & VAR
25'Goal standsVAR review · goalDecision
66'Goal standsVAR review · goalDecision
70'Goal disallowedSorrento Calcio 1945Decision · Score 2-0
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Savoia 1908 won 2-0.
Story
Savoia 1908 vs Sorrento Calcio 1945: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 24' — Savoia 1908 took the lead: 1-0. 40' — Savoia 1908 extended the lead: 2-0. Half time: 2-0, with Sorrento Calcio 1945 applying more of the pressure.
Savoia 1908 won 2-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Savoia 1908DrawSorrento Calcio 1945
Pre-match model estimate: Savoia 1908 41%, draw 27%, Sorrento Calcio 1945 32%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Savoia 1908Sorrento Calcio 1945
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min1280
Last 15 min3158
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Savoia 1908 win in 41% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and Sorrento Calcio 1945 win 32%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 51%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Coppa Italia Serie C, Knockout stage
