23' — Stevenage took the lead: 1-0. D. Kemp scored it. Half time: 1-0.
70' — Stevenage extended the lead: 2-0. J. Magennis scored it. 75' — Luton Town pulled one back: 2-1. M. Andersen scored it. Stevenage won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
StevenageDrawLuton Town
Pre-match model estimate: Stevenage 38%, draw 28%, Luton Town 34%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Stevenage took the lead in the 23rd minute: D. Kemp. Half-time: 1-0, Stevenage in front.
Stevenage extended their lead to 2-0 on 70 minutes thanks to J. Magennis. Luton Town pulled one back to make it 2-1 in the 75th minute: M. Andersen, set up by K. Palmer.
What the result means
Stevenage extend their unbeaten run to 4 matches.
Next fixtures
Next up for Stevenage: away at Oxford United on Saturday 7 November. Luton Town's next match is at home against Forest Green Rovers on 7 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
League One
