25' — MC Alger took the lead: 1-0. A. Ghezala scored from the penalty spot. Half time: 1-0.
69' — M. Khelif of MC Alger was sent off. 90' — MC Alger extended the lead: 2-0. A. Ghezala scored it. It came in the closing minutes. MC Alger won 2-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
MC AlgerDrawMC Oran
Pre-match model estimate: MC Alger 61%, draw 25%, MC Oran 14%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): MC Alger win in 61% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and MC Oran win 14%. Average goals 2.1; the most likely score is 1-0 (18%); both teams score in 35%. About 8.7 corners on average. About 4.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 20%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
VAR awarded MC Alger a penalty in the 24th minute. Just 1 minutes later (25') MC Alger took the lead, A. Ghezala from the penalty spot on target. MC Alger had a goal ruled out in the 39th minute after a VAR review. MC Alger led 1-0 at the break.
MC Alger were a man down from the 69th minute, when M. Khelif was sent off for a second yellow card. MC Alger extended their lead to 2-0 in the 90th minute: A. Ghezala.
The statistics
The shot count read 0-4, 0-3 on target.
The bigger picture
MC Alger have now won 4 in a row.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
