28' — SSC Napoli took the lead: 1-0. Frank Anguissa scored it. Half time: 1-0.
48' — SSC Napoli extended the lead: 2-0. Scott McTominay scored it. 70' — AS Roma pulled one back: 2-1. Matìas Soulè scored it. 75' — AS Roma equalised: 2-2. Leonardo Balerdi scored it. 83' — SSC Napoli went back in front: 3-2. Scott McTominay scored it. 90' — AS Roma equalised: 3-3. Leonardo Balerdi scored it. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 3-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
SSC NapoliDrawAS Roma
Pre-match model estimate: SSC Napoli 36%, draw 26%, AS Roma 38%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): SSC Napoli win in 36% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and AS Roma win 38%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 57%. About 9.4 corners on average. About 3.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 18%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
SSC Napoli – AS Roma match report
Updated:
It finished 3-3 between SSC Napoli and AS Roma at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. SSC Napoli owed a lot to Scott McTominay, who struck twice. It was 1-0 at half-time.
How the match unfolded
SSC Napoli took the lead on 28 minutes thanks to Frank Anguissa. SSC Napoli led 1-0 at the break.
SSC Napoli extended their lead to 2-0 on 48 minutes thanks to Scott McTominay, set up by Matteo Politano. AS Roma pulled one back to make it 2-1 in the 70th minute: Matìas Soulè. AS Roma drew level at 2-2 on 75 minutes thanks to Leonardo Balerdi. SSC Napoli went 3-2 up on 83 minutes thanks to Scott McTominay, set up by Mathías Olivera. AS Roma drew level at 3-3 on 90 minutes thanks to Leonardo Balerdi.
What the numbers say
SSC Napoli had 15 shots (9 on target) to AS Roma's 15 (4). Corners finished 2-11. Dangerous attacks: 79 for AS Roma, 32 for SSC Napoli.
What it means
AS Roma have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. Across 11 meetings in our records: 4 wins for SSC Napoli, 1 win for AS Roma and 6 draws.
Next fixtures
SSC Napoli visit AC Monza next, on 28 October in Serie A. Next up for AS Roma: away at Udinese on Saturday 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie A
