58' — Bologna took the lead: 0-1. Nicolo Casale scored it. 80' — Bologna extended the lead: 0-2. Federico Bernardeschi scored from the penalty spot. Bologna won 0-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CagliariDrawBologna
Pre-match model estimate: Cagliari 33%, draw 29%, Bologna 38%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Cagliari win in 33% of the simulated matches, 29% end level and Bologna win 38%. Average goals 2.3; the most likely score is 1-1 (14%); both teams score in 46%. About 9.5 corners on average. About 3.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 17%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Bologna took the lead on 58 minutes thanks to Nicolo Casale. Bologna extended their lead to 2-0 in the 80th minute: Federico Bernardeschi from the penalty spot.
What the numbers say
On target it was 1-4, from 4 and 6 attempts respectively. Corners finished 1-6.
What it means
Bologna have now scored in 4 consecutive matches.
Next fixtures
Cagliari visit Lazio next, on 1 November in Serie A. Next up for Bologna: away at AC Milan on Wednesday 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie A
