10' — AS Roma took the lead: 0-1. Bryan Cristante scored it. 31' — AS Roma extended the lead: 0-2. Donyell Malen scored it. 33' — AS Roma extended the lead: 0-3. Rodrigo Mora scored it. 38' — AS Roma extended the lead: 0-4. Evan Ndicka scored it. Half time: 0-4.
50' — Udinese pulled one back: 1-4. Nicolò Zaniolo scored it. 78' — Udinese pulled one back: 2-4. Matteo Palma scored it. 90' — AS Roma extended the lead: 2-5. Daniele Ghilardi scored it. It came in the closing minutes. AS Roma won 2-5. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
UdineseDrawAS Roma
Pre-match model estimate: Udinese 16%, draw 21%, AS Roma 63%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Udinese win in 16% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and AS Roma win 63%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 0-1 (12%); both teams score in 49%. About 9.6 corners on average. About 3.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
AS Roma thrashed Udinese5-2 in Serie A. It was 0-4 at half-time.
Key moments
Bryan Cristante opened the scoring for AS Roma after 10 minutes, set up by Wesley. AS Roma extended their lead to 2-0 on 31 minutes thanks to Donyell Malen, set up by Bryan Cristante. AS Roma extended their lead to 3-0 in the 33rd minute: Rodrigo Mora, set up by Matìas Soulè. AS Roma extended their lead to 4-0 in the 38th minute: Evan Ndicka. It was Udinese 0-4 AS Roma at half-time.
Udinese pulled one back to make it 1-4 on 50 minutes thanks to Nicolò Zaniolo. Udinese pulled one back to make it 2-4 on 78 minutes thanks to Matteo Palma, set up by Hassane Kamara. Daniele Ghilardi made it 5-2 for AS Roma after 90 minutes.
Match statistics
Udinese had 10 shots (7 on target) to AS Roma's 10 (8). Corners finished 7-4. Dangerous attacks: 208 for AS Roma, 147 for Udinese.
What the result means
The wait for a win goes on for Udinese: 9 matches now. AS Roma are now unbeaten in 5 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
