Lazio vs Parma Calcio 1913: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
50' — Lazio took the lead: 1-0. Kenneth Taylor scored it. 58' — Lazio extended the lead: 2-0. An own goal by Diego Carlos. 90' — Parma Calcio 1913 pulled one back: 2-1. It came in the closing minutes. Lazio won 2-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
LazioDrawParma Calcio 1913
Pre-match model estimate: Lazio 65%, draw 21%, Parma Calcio 1913 14%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Lazio win in 65% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and Parma Calcio 1913 win 14%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-0 (13%); both teams score in 45%. About 9.5 corners on average. About 3.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 17%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Lazio had a goal ruled out in the 45th minute. The officials disallowed a Lazio goal on 45 minutes. It was Lazio 0-0 Parma Calcio 1913 at half-time.
Lazio took the lead in the 50th minute: Kenneth Taylor. Lazio extended their lead to 2-0 in the 58th minute: an own goal from Diego Carlos. Late on, in the 90th minute, Parma Calcio 1913 pulled one back to make it 2-1.
The statistics
On target it was 4-4, from 7 and 5 attempts respectively. Lazio won 8 corners, Parma Calcio 1913 3. Lazio produced 199 dangerous attacks to Parma Calcio 1913's 69.
What the result means
Lazio extend their unbeaten run to 10 matches. Parma Calcio 1913 have now gone 4 matches without a win.
What’s next
Lazio's next match is at home against Cagliari on 1 November. Parma Calcio 1913 host Udinese next, on 28 October in Serie A.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie A
