We had a Hellas Verona win as the most likely outcome.
✓ Hellas Verona 42%✓ Most likely score 0-1
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Hellas Verona won 0-1.
Story
SS Juve Stabia vs Hellas Verona: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
87' — Hellas Verona took the lead: 0-1. Abdou Harroui scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Hellas Verona won 0-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
SS Juve StabiaDrawHellas Verona
Pre-match model estimate: SS Juve Stabia 32%, draw 26%, Hellas Verona 42%.
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): SS Juve Stabia win in 32% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and Hellas Verona win 42%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 55%. About 9.4 corners on average. About 3.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 19%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Abdou Harroui opened the scoring for Hellas Verona after 87 minutes. VAR disallowed a Hellas Verona goal on 91 minutes. Hellas Verona had a goal ruled out in the 95th minute.
What the numbers say
On target it was 3-3, from 5 and 5 attempts respectively. Hellas Verona led on expected goals, 1.46 to 0.83. Corners finished 5-8. Dangerous attacks: 145 for Hellas Verona, 103 for SS Juve Stabia.
The bigger picture
SS Juve Stabia's 8-match unbeaten run is over. A 3-game wait for victory is over for Hellas Verona. Hellas Verona beat SS Juve Stabia for the first time since 2018.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
