Hellas Verona vs Carrarese: the story of the match
10' — Hellas Verona took the lead: 1-0. Abdou Harroui scored it. 22' — Hellas Verona extended the lead: 2-0. Daniel Mosquera scored it. 38' — Hellas Verona extended the lead: 3-0. Amin Sarr scored it. Half time: 3-0.
Hellas Verona won 3-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Hellas VeronaDrawCarrarese
Pre-match model estimate: Hellas Verona 57%, draw 23%, Carrarese 20%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Hellas Verona win in 57% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Carrarese win 20%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-0 (13%); both teams score in 49%. About 9.5 corners on average. About 4.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 17%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Hellas Verona took the lead on 10 minutes thanks to Abdou Harroui. Hellas Verona extended their lead to 2-0 on 22 minutes thanks to Daniel Mosquera. Hellas Verona extended their lead to 3-0 on 38 minutes thanks to Amin Sarr. Hellas Verona led 3-0 at the break.
The statistics
On target it was 2-5, from 6 and 7 attempts respectively. Corners finished 5-9. Hellas Verona's goalkeeper made 5 saves. Dangerous attacks: 167 for Carrarese, 134 for Hellas Verona.
What the result means
Hellas Verona are now unbeaten in 4 matches. Carrarese's run of 4 matches with a goal comes to an end.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie B
