We had a Shakhtar Donetsk win as the most likely outcome.
✓ Shakhtar Donetsk 55%✗ Most likely score 1-0
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Shakhtar Donetsk won 3-0.
Story
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv: the story of the match
30' — T. Mykhavko of Dynamo Kyiv was sent off. 43' — Shakhtar Donetsk took the lead: 1-0. G. Mendoza scored it. Half time: 1-0.
74' — Shakhtar Donetsk extended the lead: 2-0. Isaque Silva scored it. 87' — Shakhtar Donetsk extended the lead: 3-0. Alisson scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 94' — A. Thiare of Dynamo Kyiv was sent off. Shakhtar Donetsk won 3-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Shakhtar DonetskDrawDynamo Kyiv
Pre-match model estimate: Shakhtar Donetsk 55%, draw 24%, Dynamo Kyiv 21%.
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Shakhtar Donetsk win in 55% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Dynamo Kyiv win 21%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-0 (12%); both teams score in 50%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
A 3-0 rout: Shakhtar Donetsk swept Dynamo Kyiv aside. The half-time score was 1-0. Alisson was our player of the match, rated 7.2 by the ScoreMondo model for Shakhtar Donetsk.
Key moments
Dynamo Kyiv were a man down from the 30th minute, when T. Mykhavko was sent off. Shakhtar Donetsk took the lead in the 43rd minute through G. Mendoza. Shakhtar Donetsk led 1-0 at the break.
Shakhtar Donetsk extended their lead to 2-0 in the 74th minute through Isaque Silva. Shakhtar Donetsk extended their lead to 3-0 in the 87th minute through Alisson. A. Thiare saw a straight red card in the 94th minute, leaving Dynamo Kyiv short-handed.
What the numbers say
Expected goals (xG) 1.40 – 0.34: Shakhtar Donetsk created the better chances. Shakhtar Donetsk won 4 corners, Dynamo Kyiv 5. 2 red cards for Dynamo Kyiv and 5 yellows made it a bad-tempered match. Shakhtar Donetsk produced 101 dangerous attacks to Dynamo Kyiv's 37.
What the result means
Dynamo Kyiv's run of 7 matches with a goal comes to an end.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
