Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
53' — Vinícius Tobias of Shakhtar Donetsk was sent off. The match ended 0-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Shakhtar DonetskDrawDynamo Kyiv
Pre-match model estimate: Shakhtar Donetsk 59%, draw 23%, Dynamo Kyiv 18%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Shakhtar Donetsk win in 59% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Dynamo Kyiv win 18%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-0 (12%); both teams score in 50%. About 10.9 corners on average. About 4.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 25%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Shakhtar Donetsk climb from 2nd to 1st on 29 points. Dynamo Kyiv remain 3rd, now with 23 points. Across 11 meetings in our records: 6 wins for Shakhtar Donetsk, 1 win for Dynamo Kyiv and 4 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Premier League
