SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Augsburg: the story of the match
Augsburg started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 13' — Augsburg took the lead: 0-1. Rodrigo Ribeiro scored it. 21' — Augsburg extended the lead: 0-2. Rodrigo Ribeiro scored it. 22' — SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach pulled one back: 1-2. Luca Molinari scored it. Half time: 1-2, with Augsburg applying more of the pressure.
46' — SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach equalised: 2-2. Volkan Celiktas scored it. 69' — Augsburg went back in front: 2-3. Arijon Ibrahimovic scored it. 74' — Augsburg extended the lead: 2-4. Anton Kade scored it. Augsburg won 2-4.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachAugsburg
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min4663
Last 15 min4462
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach win in 7% of the simulated matches, 12% end level and Augsburg win 81%. Average goals 3.8; the most likely score is 0-3 (10%); both teams score in 53%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
The early pressure came from Augsburg, who controlled the opening 15 minutes. Augsburg took the lead on 13 minutes thanks to Rodrigo Ribeiro. Augsburg extended their lead to 2-0 in the 21st minute: Rodrigo Ribeiro. Luca Molinari reduced the deficit for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach to 1-2 after 22 minutes. It was SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1-2 Augsburg at half-time; Augsburg had the better of the pressure.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach drew level at 2-2 on 46 minutes thanks to Volkan Celiktas. Augsburg went 3-2 up in the 69th minute: Arijon Ibrahimovic. Augsburg extended their lead to 4-2 in the 74th minute: Anton Kade.
The statistics
The shot count read 5-11, 4-10 on target. SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach won 2 corners, Augsburg 5. Augsburg produced 52 dangerous attacks to SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach's 28.
What the result means
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach have now scored in 10 consecutive matches. Augsburg end a run of 6 matches without a win.
Next fixtures
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach host Rot-Weiss Essen next, on 1 November. Next up for Augsburg: home to Freiburg on Saturday 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
DFB Pokal
