Rot-Weiss Essen vs RB Leipzig: the story of the match
10' — Rot-Weiss Essen took the lead: 1-0. Lucas Brumme scored it. 44' — Nicolas Seiwald of RB Leipzig was sent off. Half time: 1-0.
78' — RB Leipzig equalised: 1-1. Christoph Baumgartner scored it. 83' — RB Leipzig completed the turnaround: 1-2. Christoph Baumgartner scored it. RB Leipzig won 1-2.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Rot-Weiss Essen win in 7% of the simulated matches, 12% end level and RB Leipzig win 81%. Average goals 3.9; the most likely score is 0-3 (10%); both teams score in 53%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
RB Leipzig came from behind to beat Rot-Weiss Essen2-1 in the DFB Pokal. RB Leipzig owed a lot to Christoph Baumgartner, who struck twice. The attendance at Stadion an der Hafenstraße was 17,467.
How the match unfolded
Rot-Weiss Essen took the lead on 10 minutes thanks to Lucas Brumme. Nicolas Seiwald saw a second yellow and then red in the 44th minute, leaving RB Leipzig short-handed. Rot-Weiss Essen led 1-0 at the break.
RB Leipzig drew level at 1-1 in the 78th minute: Christoph Baumgartner. RB Leipzig completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 83 minutes thanks to Christoph Baumgartner.
Match statistics
On target it was 1-1, from 2 and 6 attempts respectively. Corners finished 5-7. Dangerous attacks: 126 for RB Leipzig, 110 for Rot-Weiss Essen.
What it means
RB Leipzig have now scored in 6 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
