47' — Catanzaro took the lead: 0-1. An own goal by Stefan Gartenmann. 56' — Sampdoria equalised: 1-1. Lorenzo Insigne scored it. 64' — Oliver Abildgaard of Sampdoria was sent off. 85' — Sampdoria completed the turnaround: 2-1. Tjaš Begić scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Sampdoria won 2-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
SampdoriaDrawCatanzaro
Pre-match model estimate: Sampdoria 35%, draw 27%, Catanzaro 38%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Catanzaro took the lead in the 47th minute: an own goal from Stefan Gartenmann. Sampdoria drew level at 1-1 on 56 minutes thanks to Lorenzo Insigne, set up by Tobias Lauritsen. Sampdoria had a player sent off on 64 minutes: Oliver Abildgaard. Late on, in the 85th minute, Sampdoria completed the turnaround at 2-1 through Tjaš Begić.
What the result means
Sampdoria end a run of 5 matches without a win. It is Sampdoria's first win over Catanzaro in the last 4 meetings on record.
What’s next
Sampdoria visit Carrarese next, on 8 November in Serie B. Next up for Catanzaro: away at Cesena FC on Saturday 7 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie B
