Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
FC Osaka beat Roasso Kumamoto 2-1 in J3 League.
Venue: Hanazono Rugby Stadium.
Match details
Venue
Hanazono Rugby Stadium, Higashiosaka
Coaches
Mitsunori Yabuta · Tomohiro Katanosaka
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Squad status
Line-ups not announced yet. Official line-ups are usually announced about 1 hour before kick-off.
No injured or suspended players reported for this match (checked ).
FC Osaka
H. Sugawara
K. Sakamoto
Y. Minakuchi
R. Yamashita
S. Tachino
R. Kubo
S. Sumida
G. Yoshida
T. Toya
T. Kitsui
T. Shimada
Roasso Kumamoto
S. Sato
R. Yakushida
T. Ri
S. Toda
E. Matsuda
A. Iihoshi
K. Nasu
S. Nagai
R. Watanabe
K. Fujii
Bae Jeong-Min
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: FC Osaka won 2-1.
Story
FC Osaka vs Roasso Kumamoto: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
57' — FC Osaka took the lead: 1-0. T. Kitsui scored it. 85' — Roasso Kumamoto equalised: 1-1. H. Ozawa scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — FC Osaka went back in front: 2-1. K. Isa scored it. It came in the closing minutes. FC Osaka won 2-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC OsakaDrawRoasso Kumamoto
Pre-match model estimate: FC Osaka 35%, draw 26%, Roasso Kumamoto 39%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Osaka win in 35% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and Roasso Kumamoto win 39%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 51%. About 9.3 corners on average. About 3.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 11%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Osaka snatched a late 2-1 win over Roasso Kumamoto, K. Isa scoring the winner in the 90th minute. It was 0-0 at half-time.
How the match unfolded
It was FC Osaka 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto at half-time.
FC Osaka took the lead in the 57th minute: T. Kitsui, set up by T. Shimada. H. Ozawa equalised for Roasso Kumamoto at 1-1 after 85 minutes, set up by Y. Katori. Just 5 minutes later (90') FC Osaka went 2-1 up, K. Isa on target, set up by Y. Natsukawa.
Match statistics
Corners finished 4-7.
What the result means
Roasso Kumamoto's 4-match unbeaten run is over.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.