Rwanda vs Mali kick-off time: 17 Nov 2026
Africa Cup of Nations Qualification
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ScoreMondo estimate
MoreMost likely score: 0-1 (17%)
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Last 5 · Recent meetings
More- RwandaDWWLWUnbeaten in 3 matches
- MaliDWWLDUnbeaten in 3 matches
- World Cup Africa QualificationRwanda0 - 3Mali
- World Cup Africa QualificationMali1 - 0Rwanda
- World CupMali1 - 1Rwanda
Africa Cup of Nations Qualification
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rwanda | 2 | +3 | 6 |
| 2 | Mali | 2 | +3 | 6 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 4 | Liberia | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Rwanda and Mali meet on in Africa Cup of Nations Qualification.
Venue: Stade Amahoro.
In our records Rwanda and Mali have met 4 times: Rwanda won 0, 1 ended level and Mali won 3.
Their latest meeting (): Rwanda 0-3 Mali.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsOne of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals Rwanda 0.6 – 1.7 Mali. Most frequent scores: 0-1 (17%), 0-2 (14%), 1-1 (11%). Both teams score in 39% of the simulated matches.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
- Mali: the stronger side on our resultsMAstrong
- Rwanda: home advantage in this competitionRWstrong
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Mali.
Why it matters: A win could put Mali top of the table.
Preview
Rwanda vs Mali: preview
Rwanda have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. Rwanda are unbeaten in 3 matches. 4 of Rwanda's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 2. Mali have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. Mali are unbeaten in 3 matches. 1 of Mali's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5.
In their last 4 meetings, Rwanda won 0, 1 ended level and Mali won 3. Rwanda are in position 1 with 6 points, Mali in position 2 with 6 points. A win could lift Mali as high as position 1.
Table by result
- A defeat drops them to 2.
- A win takes them top.
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
