Real Madrid vs Inter Milan: the story of the match
14' — Real Madrid took the lead: 1-0. K. Mbappe scored it. 23' — Real Madrid extended the lead: 2-0. F. Valverde scored it. Half time: 2-0.
77' — Inter Milan pulled one back: 2-1. Carlos Augusto scored it. Real Madrid won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Real MadridDrawInter Milan
Pre-match model estimate: Real Madrid 53%, draw 21%, Inter Milan 26%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Real Madrid took the lead in the 14th minute: K. Mbappe, set up by B. Diaz. F. Valverde made it 2-0 for Real Madrid after 23 minutes. It was Real Madrid 2-0 Inter Milan at half-time.
Inter Milan pulled one back to make it 2-1 on 77 minutes thanks to Carlos Augusto, set up by L. Martinez.
Coming up
Next up for Real Madrid: away at Valencia on Saturday 7 November. Inter Milan's next match is at home against FC Como on 8 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
UEFA Champions League
