One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
Real Aviles CFKick-off0-0CD Extremadura
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Real Aviles CF win in 36% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and CD Extremadura win 40%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 56%. About 9.3 corners on average. About 5.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 26%.
Goals scored per match: 2.3Goals conceded per match: 1.5
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Real Aviles CF won 5-2.
Story
Real Aviles CF vs CD Extremadura: the story of the match
15' — Real Aviles CF took the lead: 1-0. 31' — CD Extremadura equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1.
54' — CD Extremadura had a player sent off. 56' — Real Aviles CF went back in front: 2-1. 79' — CD Extremadura equalised: 2-2. 85' — Real Aviles CF went back in front: 3-2. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — Real Aviles CF extended the lead: 4-2. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — Real Aviles CF extended the lead: 5-2. It came in the closing minutes. Real Aviles CF won 5-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Real Aviles CFDrawCD Extremadura
Pre-match model estimate: Real Aviles CF 36%, draw 24%, CD Extremadura 40%.
A 5-2 rout: Real Aviles CF swept CD Extremadura aside at Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta. It was 1-1 at half-time. The match was played on Friday, 6 November 2026 at Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta (matchday 11).
How the match unfolded
Real Aviles CF took the lead on 15 minutes. CD Extremadura drew level at 1-1 on 31 minutes. A CD Extremadura goal stood after a VAR check in the 32nd minute. It was Real Aviles CF 1-1 CD Extremadura at half-time.
After a review on 54 minutes, Real Aviles CF were given a penalty. CD Extremadura were a man down from the 54th minute. Just 2 minutes later (56') Real Aviles CF went 2-1 up. CD Extremadura drew level at 2-2 on 79 minutes. Late on, in the 85th minute, Real Aviles CF went 3-2 up.
Real Aviles CF extended their lead to 4-2 on 90 minutes. Late on, in the 90th minute, Real Aviles CF extended their lead to 5-2. VAR checked and confirmed the Real Aviles CF goal on 103 minutes.
Match statistics
Corners finished 3-3. The referee showed 7 yellow cards, 4 to Real Aviles CF and 3 to CD Extremadura, and a red. Dangerous attacks: 119 for Real Aviles CF, 96 for CD Extremadura. Real Aviles CF committed 17 fouls to CD Extremadura's 12, and the offside count read 1-4.
How they came into it
Before kick-off Real Aviles CF were 9th on 14 points and CD Extremadura 5th on 16 points. Real Aviles CF came into the match with 3 wins and 2 defeats from their last 5 matches — scoring in 9 straight games. Their most recent game was a 3-0 win over Real Union de Irun for Real Aviles CF. Before kick-off, CD Extremadura's last 5 matches had brought 4 wins and 1 draw. Last time out, CD Extremadura beat Unionistas de Salamanca CF3-0 at home. Márcio Torres was the referee, averaging 4.1 yellow cards per match across 30 matches in our records.
The bigger picture
Real Aviles CF climb from 9th to 4th on 17 points. CD Extremadura slip to 7th (16 points), having started the day 5th. Real Aviles CF have now scored in 10 consecutive matches. CD Extremadura's 6-match unbeaten run is over.
Primera Federacion, Group 2
