49' — Reading took the lead: 1-0. J. Marriott scored it. 72' — Reading extended the lead: 2-0. J. Marriott scored it. Reading won 2-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
ReadingDrawNotts County
Pre-match model estimate: Reading 48%, draw 27%, Notts County 25%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Reading beat Notts County2-0 without conceding at Select Car Leasing Stadium. Reading owed a lot to J. Marriott, who struck twice. It was 0-0 at half-time.
How the match unfolded
It was Reading 0-0 Notts County at half-time.
Reading took the lead in the 49th minute: J. Marriott, set up by H. Roberts. Reading extended their lead to 2-0 on 72 minutes thanks to J. Marriott, set up by K. Lisbie.
The bigger picture
Reading have now scored in 5 consecutive matches. The wait for a win goes on for Notts County: 4 matches now.
Coming up
Reading's next match is away to Plymouth Argyle on 31 October. Notts County visit Mansfield Town next, on 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.