No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): LD Alajuelense win in 51% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and CD Motagua win 24%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-0 (13%); both teams score in 47%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
LD Alajuelense got the better of CD Motagua, winning 2-1 at Alejandro Morera Soto. It was 2-0 at half-time. Player of the match: Juanpi of LD Alajuelense, with a ScoreMondo rating of 7.1.
Key moments
LD Alajuelense took the lead on 19 minutes thanks to Juanpi. LD Alajuelense extended their lead to 2-0 on 44 minutes thanks to Creichel Pérez. LD Alajuelense led 2-0 at the break.
CD Motagua pulled one back to make it 2-1 in the 75th minute with an own goal from Alexis Gamboa. A CD Motagua goal stood after a VAR check in the 76th minute. LD Alajuelense were a man down from the 92nd minute, when Ángel Zaldívar was sent off for a second yellow card.
What the numbers say
On target it was 4-7, from 8 and 11 attempts respectively. Expected goals (xG) 1.70 – 1.29: LD Alajuelense created the better chances. Corners finished 6-10. A red card for LD Alajuelense and 3 yellows made it a bad-tempered match. LD Alajuelense's goalkeeper made 8 saves.
The bigger picture
LD Alajuelense are now unbeaten in 8 matches. CD Motagua's 4-match unbeaten run is over.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
