Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution: the story of the match
45' — New England Revolution took the lead: 0-1. Dor Turgeman scored it. Half time: 0-1.
90' — New England Revolution extended the lead: 0-2. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — Philadelphia Union pulled one back: 1-2. It came in the closing minutes. New England Revolution won 1-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew England Revolution
Pre-match model estimate: Philadelphia Union 63%, draw 19%, New England Revolution 18%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Philadelphia Union win in 63% of the simulated matches, 19% end level and New England Revolution win 18%. Average goals 3.5; the most likely score is 2-1 (10%); both teams score in 63%. About 10.1 corners on average. About 3.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Philadelphia Union – New England Revolution match report
New England Revolution took the lead in the 45th minute: Dor Turgeman. New England Revolution led 1-0 at the break.
Late on, in the 90th minute, New England Revolution extended their lead to 2-0. Philadelphia Union pulled one back to make it 1-2 on 90 minutes.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 11-6, 7-6 on target. Corners finished 4-6. New England Revolution's goalkeeper made 7 saves. Dangerous attacks: 123 for Philadelphia Union, 74 for New England Revolution.
The bigger picture
Philadelphia Union remain 6th, now with 46 points. New England Revolution climb from 3rd to 2nd on 55 points. Philadelphia Union's 11-match unbeaten run is over.
Coming up
Philadelphia Union visit Nashville SC next, on 29 October in MLS. Next up for New England Revolution: home to New York Red Bulls on Wednesday 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
MLS
