Orlando City SC vs New York City FC: the story of the match
18' — New York City FC took the lead: 0-1. Alonso Martínez scored it. 32' — Orlando City SC equalised: 1-1. Antoine Griezmann scored it. Half time: 1-1.
49' — Orlando City SC completed the turnaround: 2-1. Martín Ojeda scored it. 90' — New York City FC equalised: 2-2. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 2-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Orlando City SCDrawNew York City FC
Pre-match model estimate: Orlando City SC 43%, draw 22%, New York City FC 35%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Orlando City SC win in 43% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and New York City FC win 35%. Average goals 3.5; the most likely score is 1-1 (9%); both teams score in 68%. About 9.9 corners on average. About 3.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
New York City FC took the lead in the 18th minute: Alonso Martínez, set up by Hannes Wolf. Orlando City SC drew level at 1-1 on 32 minutes thanks to Antoine Griezmann, set up by Martín Ojeda. Half-time: 1-1 between Orlando City SC and New York City FC.
Orlando City SC completed the turnaround at 2-1 in the 49th minute: Martín Ojeda, set up by Vinícius Nogueira. Late on, in the 90th minute, New York City FC drew level at 2-2.
The statistics
Orlando City SC had 6 shots (2 on target) to New York City FC's 11 (6). Orlando City SC won 3 corners, New York City FC 9. 5 saves came from the Orlando City SC goalkeeper. New York City FC produced 163 dangerous attacks to Orlando City SC's 86.
What the result means
Orlando City SC stay 7th on 42 points. New York City FC remain 12th, now with 35 points. Orlando City SC extend their unbeaten run to 4 matches. New York City FC have now gone 6 matches without a win.
Coming up
Orlando City SC's next match is away to Chicago Fire on 29 October. New York City FC host Atlanta United FC next, on 28 October in MLS.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
MLS
