Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire: the story of the match
5' — Atlanta United FC took the lead: 1-0. Tomás Jacob scored it. 30' — Chicago Fire equalised: 1-1. Anton Saletros scored it. Half time: 1-1.
51' — Chicago Fire completed the turnaround: 1-2. Anzor Mekvabishvili scored it. 61' — Chicago Fire extended the lead: 1-3. 68' — Atlanta United FC pulled one back: 2-3. Chicago Fire won 2-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Atlanta United FCDrawChicago Fire
Pre-match model estimate: Atlanta United FC 36%, draw 22%, Chicago Fire 42%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Atlanta United FC win in 36% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Chicago Fire win 42%. Average goals 3.4; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 66%. About 9.8 corners on average. About 3.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 17%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Atlanta United FC took the lead in the 5th minute: Tomás Jacob. Anton Saletros equalised for Chicago Fire at 1-1 after 30 minutes. The first half ended 1-1.
Chicago Fire completed the turnaround at 2-1 in the 51st minute: Anzor Mekvabishvili. Chicago Fire extended their lead to 3-1 on 61 minutes. Atlanta United FC pulled one back to make it 2-3 on 68 minutes. Atlanta United FC had a goal ruled out.
What the numbers say
Corners finished 4-5.
What the result means
Atlanta United FC remain 14th, now with 30 points. Chicago Fire stay 4th on 51 points. Atlanta United FC have now scored in 6 consecutive matches.
Coming up
Next up for Atlanta United FC: away at New York City FC on Wednesday 28 October. Chicago Fire's next match is at home against Orlando City SC on 29 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
MLS
