22' — OGC Nice took the lead: 1-0. An own goal by N. Ngoy. Half time: 1-0.
67' — OGC Nice extended the lead: 2-0. M. Amoura scored it. 79' — Lille OSC pulled one back: 2-1. A. Ueda scored it. OGC Nice won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
OGC NiceDrawLille OSC
Pre-match model estimate: OGC Nice 34%, draw 31%, Lille OSC 35%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
OGC Nice took the lead on 22 minutes thanks to an own goal from N. Ngoy. It was OGC Nice 1-0 Lille OSC at half-time.
OGC Nice extended their lead to 2-0 on 67 minutes thanks to M. Amoura, set up by G. Hein. Lille OSC pulled one back to make it 2-1 on 79 minutes thanks to A. Ueda, set up by M. Kjaergaard.
What it means
OGC Nice end a run of 7 matches without a win. Lille OSC have now scored in 5 consecutive matches.
Coming up
Lille OSC's next match is away to FK Bodo/Glimt on 3 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Ligue 1
