Northampton Town vs Rochdale (League Two) kick-off time: 21 Nov 2026
ScoreMondo estimate
MoreMost likely score: 1-0 (14%)
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Last 5 matches · Recent meetings
More- Northampton TownLLLDWNo win in 4 matches
- RochdaleWLLLDScored in 3 matches in a row
No recorded meeting between them
- Per match
- Corners won5.0·4.3
- Yellow cards1.5·1.6
League Two
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 | Northampton Town | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 | Rotherham United | 14 | -7 | 12 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Northampton Town and Rochdale meet on in League Two.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsOne of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals Northampton Town 1.3 – 0.9 Rochdale. Most frequent scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Both teams score in 43% of the simulated matches.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
- Northampton Town: the stronger side on our resultsNTclear
- Northampton Town: home advantage in this competitionNTstrong
Also considered
- Northampton Town: 3 matches in the last 14 days (busy schedule)
In our past matches these circumstances did not measurably improve the prediction, so they do not change the percentages.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Northampton Town.
Preview
Northampton Town vs Rochdale: preview
Northampton Town have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. Northampton Town have not won in 4 matches. 3 of Northampton Town's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4. Rochdale have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. Rochdale have scored in 3 matches in a row. 8 of Rochdale's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 7.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.

