15' — Neom SC took the lead: 1-0. Saïd Benrahma scored it. Half time: 1-0.
50' — Neom SC extended the lead: 2-0. Alexandre Lacazette scored it. Neom SC won 2-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Neom SCDrawAbha
Pre-match model estimate: Neom SC 64%, draw 21%, Abha 15%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Neom SC win in 64% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and Abha win 15%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 2-0 (12%); both teams score in 49%. About 9.6 corners on average. About 3.7 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Neom SC beat Abha2-0 without conceding at King Khalid Sport City Stadium. The half-time score was 1-0.
Key moments
Neom SC took the lead on 15 minutes thanks to Saïd Benrahma. Neom SC had a goal ruled out in the 37th minute. The officials disallowed a Neom SC goal on 37 minutes. Neom SC had a goal ruled out in the 37th minute. Half-time: 1-0, Neom SC in front.
Neom SC extended their lead to 2-0 on 50 minutes thanks to Alexandre Lacazette.
The statistics
Neom SC won 5 corners, Abha 4. Neom SC produced 39 dangerous attacks to Abha's 20.
Saudi Professional League
