Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
Mito HollyHock and Cerezo Osaka meet on in J.League Cup.
In our records Mito HollyHock and Cerezo Osaka have met 10 times: Mito HollyHock won 2, 3 ended level and Cerezo Osaka won 5.
Their latest meeting (): Cerezo Osaka 2-2 Mito HollyHock.
Squad status
Line-ups not announced yet. Official line-ups are usually announced about 1 hour before kick-off.
No injured or suspended players reported for this match (checked ).
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Cerezo Osaka (48%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
27%25%48%
Mito HollyHock27%Draw25%Cerezo Osaka48%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Mito HollyHock vs Cerezo Osaka: preview
Mito HollyHock have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches. Mito HollyHock have lost 3 matches in a row. 3 of Mito HollyHock's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 2. Cerezo Osaka have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. Cerezo Osaka have scored in 4 matches in a row. 5 of Cerezo Osaka's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 7.
In their last 10 meetings, Mito HollyHock won 2, 3 ended level and Cerezo Osaka won 5.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): Mito HollyHock win in 27% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Cerezo Osaka win 48%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 54%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Recent form for Mito HollyHock: 1 win and 4 defeats in 5, with 2 goals for and 11 against. Mito HollyHock have lost 3 in a row. Mito HollyHock average 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game over their last 10.
Cerezo Osaka come into it with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat from 5 matches. Cerezo Osaka have scored in each of their last 4 matches. Across 10 matches, Cerezo Osaka have scored 1.4 and let in 1.7 goals per match on average.
Head to head
Mito HollyHock and Cerezo Osaka have met 10 times in our records: 2 wins for Mito HollyHock, 5 for Cerezo Osaka and 3 draws. When they last met, on 30 October 2016, it ended 2-2. Mito HollyHock have not beaten Cerezo Osaka in 4 matches.