Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Montevideo City Torque won 3-1.
Story
Montevideo City Torque vs Club Atletico Cerro: the story of the match
8' — Club Atletico Cerro took the lead: 0-1. 31' — Montevideo City Torque equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1.
57' — Montevideo City Torque completed the turnaround: 2-1. 64' — Montevideo City Torque extended the lead: 3-1. 90' — Montevideo City Torque had a player sent off. Montevideo City Torque won 3-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Montevideo City TorqueDrawClub Atletico Cerro
Pre-match model estimate: Montevideo City Torque 63%, draw 22%, Club Atletico Cerro 15%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Montevideo City Torque win in 63% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Club Atletico Cerro win 15%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-0 (13%); both teams score in 47%. About 9.5 corners on average. About 4.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 24%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Montevideo City Torque – Club Atletico Cerro match report
Club Atletico Cerro took the lead on 8 minutes. Montevideo City Torque had a goal ruled out in the 27th minute. Just 4 minutes later (31') Montevideo City Torque drew level at 1-1. It was Montevideo City Torque 1-1 Club Atletico Cerro at half-time.
Montevideo City Torque completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 57 minutes. Montevideo City Torque extended their lead to 3-1 on 64 minutes. The officials disallowed a Club Atletico Cerro goal on 78 minutes. Club Atletico Cerro had a goal ruled out in the 78th minute. Montevideo City Torque were a man down from the 90th minute.
Match statistics
Montevideo City Torque won 5 corners, Club Atletico Cerro 2.
The bigger picture
The result lifts Montevideo City Torque to 2nd with 25 points, up from 3rd. Club Atletico Cerro drop from 6th to 8th on 18 points.
Primera Division, Clausura
