Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Cerro Largo FC beat Boston River 2-0 in Primera Division, Clausura.
Venue: Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla.
Referee: Hernan Heras.
In our records Cerro Largo FC and Boston River have met 10 times: Cerro Largo FC won 4, 3 ended level and Boston River won 3.
Their latest meeting (): Cerro Largo FC 3-0 Boston River.
Match decisions & VAR
53'Goal disallowedCerro Largo FCDecision · Score 0-0
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Cerro Largo FC won 2-0.
Story
Cerro Largo FC vs Boston River: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
68' — Cerro Largo FC took the lead: 1-0. 82' — Cerro Largo FC extended the lead: 2-0. Cerro Largo FC won 2-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Cerro Largo FCDrawBoston River
Pre-match model estimate: Cerro Largo FC 35%, draw 28%, Boston River 37%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Cerro Largo FC win in 35% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and Boston River win 37%. Average goals 2.3; the most likely score is 1-1 (14%); both teams score in 46%. About 9.2 corners on average. About 4.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 24%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
It was Cerro Largo FC 0-0 Boston River at half-time.
The officials disallowed a Cerro Largo FC goal on 53 minutes. Cerro Largo FC took the lead on 68 minutes. Cerro Largo FC extended their lead to 2-0 on 82 minutes.
Match statistics
On target it was 4-2, from 5 and 4 attempts respectively.
The bigger picture
Cerro Largo FC climb from 15th to 14th on 9 points. Boston River remain 10th, now with 15 points. A 4-game wait for victory is over for Cerro Largo FC. Boston River's 4-match unbeaten run is over.
What’s next
Cerro Largo FC visit Racing Club Montevideo next, on 31 October in the Primera Division, Clausura. Next up for Boston River: home to Montevideo City Torque on Sunday 1 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.