Montevideo Wanderers FC vs CA Progreso: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
59' — CA Progreso took the lead: 0-1. N. López scored it. CA Progreso won 0-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Montevideo Wanderers FCDrawCA Progreso
Pre-match model estimate: Montevideo Wanderers FC 45%, draw 26%, CA Progreso 29%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Montevideo Wanderers FC win in 45% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and CA Progreso win 29%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 51%. About 9.6 corners on average. About 4.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 23%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Montevideo Wanderers FC – CA Progreso match report
It was Montevideo Wanderers FC 0-0 CA Progreso at half-time.
CA Progreso took the lead on 59 minutes thanks to N. López.
The statistics
Montevideo Wanderers FC won 5 corners, CA Progreso 4.
What it means
CA Progreso have now scored in 6 consecutive matches.
What’s next
Montevideo Wanderers FC host CA Juventud de las Piedras next, on 16 November in the Primera Division, Clausura. Next up for CA Progreso: away at Cerro Largo FC on Thursday 12 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Primera Division, Clausura
