Milton Keynes Dons vs Crawley Town: the story of the match
42' — Milton Keynes Dons took the lead: 1-0. B. Wiles scored it. 45' — Milton Keynes Dons extended the lead: 2-0. J. Sanders scored it. Half time: 2-0.
61' — Milton Keynes Dons extended the lead: 3-0. E. Campbell scored it. 70' — Milton Keynes Dons extended the lead: 4-0. R. Hepburn-Murphy scored from the penalty spot. 90' — Crawley Town pulled one back: 4-1. N. Tinsdale scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Milton Keynes Dons won 4-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Milton Keynes DonsDrawCrawley Town
Pre-match model estimate: Milton Keynes Dons 74%, draw 15%, Crawley Town 11%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Milton Keynes Dons took the lead in the 42nd minute: B. Wiles. Milton Keynes Dons extended their lead to 2-0 on 45 minutes thanks to J. Sanders, set up by D. Barlaser. Milton Keynes Dons led 2-0 at the break.
Milton Keynes Dons extended their lead to 3-0 on 61 minutes thanks to E. Campbell, set up by D. Barlaser. Milton Keynes Dons extended their lead to 4-0 in the 70th minute: R. Hepburn-Murphy from the penalty spot. N. Tinsdale reduced the deficit for Crawley Town to 4-1 after 90 minutes, set up by T. Ewens-Findlay.
What the result means
Milton Keynes Dons end a run of 4 matches without a win. It is now 4 straight defeats for Crawley Town.
What’s next
Milton Keynes Dons' next match is at home against Swindon Town on 7 November. Crawley Town visit Wimborne Town FC next, on 8 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
EFL Trophy, Northern Group F
