No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
Lobos UPNFMKick-off0-0CD Motagua
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Lobos UPNFM win in 27% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and CD Motagua win 48%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 51%. About 10.9 corners on average. About 4.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 23%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CD Motagua failed to score as Lobos UPNFM won 1-0 in the National League. The match was played on Saturday, 7 November 2026 at Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse in Choluteca (matchday 14).
Key moments
The officials disallowed a Lobos UPNFM goal on 8 minutes. Lobos UPNFM took the lead on 14 minutes. It was Lobos UPNFM 1-0 CD Motagua at half-time.
What the numbers say
On target it was 7-7, from 8 and 8 attempts respectively. Lobos UPNFM committed 15 fouls to CD Motagua's 10, and the offside count read 1-1.
The context
Before kick-off Lobos UPNFM were 6th on 16 points and CD Motagua 3rd on 28 points. Lobos UPNFM came into the match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches. Lobos UPNFM were held 0-0 by Olancho FC in their latest outing. Before kick-off, CD Motagua's last 5 matches had brought 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Last time out, CD Motagua beat Estrella Roja FC2-1 away. Lobos UPNFM and CD Motagua have met 9 times in our records: 2 wins for Lobos UPNFM, 5 for CD Motagua and 2 draws. The last meeting, in 2026, went 4-1 to CD Motagua. Those 9 games produced 32 goals, an average of 3.6 per match.
What it means
Lobos UPNFM remain 6th, now with 19 points. CD Motagua slip to 4th (28 points), having started the day 3rd. CD Motagua's run of 4 matches with a goal comes to an end.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
