Lobos UPNFM vs Genesis Huracan: the story of the match
7' — Genesis Huracan took the lead: 0-1. C. I. Arzu Zapata scored it. 14' — Lobos UPNFM equalised: 1-1. J. Glavocic scored it. Half time: 1-1.
48' — Genesis Huracan went back in front: 1-2. W. Martinez scored it. 68' — Lobos UPNFM equalised: 2-2. D. Carter scored it. 76' — Genesis Huracan went back in front: 2-3. W. Martinez scored it. 80' — Lobos UPNFM equalised: 3-3. 90' — Lobos UPNFM completed the turnaround: 4-3. J. Villafranca scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Lobos UPNFM won 4-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Lobos UPNFM win in 40% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Genesis Huracan win 35%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 58%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Genesis Huracan let a lead slip and lost 4-3 to Lobos UPNFM at Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse. Genesis Huracan owed a lot to W. Martinez, who struck twice.
Key moments
Genesis Huracan took the lead in the 7th minute: C. I. Arzu Zapata. The officials disallowed a Genesis Huracan goal on 9 minutes. J. Glavocic equalised for Lobos UPNFM at 1-1 after 14 minutes. Half-time: 1-1 between Lobos UPNFM and Genesis Huracan.
Genesis Huracan went 2-1 up in the 48th minute: W. Martinez. Lobos UPNFM drew level at 2-2 on 68 minutes thanks to D. Carter. W. Martinez put Genesis Huracan 3-2 ahead after 76 minutes. Lobos UPNFM drew level at 3-3 on 80 minutes. Lobos UPNFM completed the turnaround at 4-3 in the 90th minute: J. Villafranca.
Lobos UPNFM had a goal ruled out in the 91st minute. The officials disallowed a Lobos UPNFM goal on 91 minutes.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 12-6, 9-5 on target. Corners finished 10-4.
What it means
Genesis Huracan have lost 4 in a row.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
