Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Lobos UPNFM beat CD Motagua 1-0 in National League.
Venue: Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse.
In our records Lobos UPNFM and CD Motagua have met 9 times: Lobos UPNFM won 2, 2 ended level and CD Motagua won 5.
Their latest meeting (): CD Motagua 4-1 Lobos UPNFM.
Match details
Venue
Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse, Choluteca
Match decisions & VAR
8'Goal disallowedLobos UPNFMDecision · Score 0-0
69'Review overVAR review · incidentDecision
69'Review overVAR review · incidentDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Lobos UPNFM won 1-0.
Story
Lobos UPNFM vs CD Motagua: the story of the match
14' — Lobos UPNFM took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
Lobos UPNFM won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Lobos UPNFMDrawCD Motagua
Pre-match model estimate: Lobos UPNFM 27%, draw 25%, CD Motagua 48%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Lobos UPNFM win in 27% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and CD Motagua win 48%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 51%. About 10.9 corners on average. About 4.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 23%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
The officials disallowed a Lobos UPNFM goal on 8 minutes. Lobos UPNFM took the lead on 14 minutes. It was Lobos UPNFM 1-0 CD Motagua at half-time.
What the numbers say
On target it was 7-7, from 8 and 8 attempts respectively.
What it means
Lobos UPNFM remain 6th, now with 19 points. CD Motagua slip to 4th (28 points), having started the day 3rd. CD Motagua's run of 4 matches with a goal comes to an end.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
