34' — Mallorca took the lead: 0-1. Zito Luvumbo scored it. Half time: 0-1.
57' — Leganes equalised: 1-1. Álex Millán scored it. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
LeganesDrawMallorca
Pre-match model estimate: Leganes 21%, draw 27%, Mallorca 52%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Leganes win in 21% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and Mallorca win 52%. Average goals 2.3; the most likely score is 0-1 (15%); both teams score in 42%. About 9.9 corners on average. About 4.6 yellow cards on average; a red card in 21%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Neither Leganes nor Mallorca could find a winner in a 1-1 draw. The half-time score was 0-1.
The story of the match
Mallorca took the lead on 34 minutes thanks to Zito Luvumbo. Half-time: 0-1, Mallorca in front.
Leganes drew level at 1-1 on 57 minutes thanks to Álex Millán.
What the numbers say
Leganes won 6 corners, Mallorca 4.
The bigger picture
Leganes end a run of 4 straight defeats. Mallorca extend their unbeaten run to 4 matches. Across 11 meetings in our records: 3 wins for Leganes, 4 wins for Mallorca and 4 draws.
Next fixtures
Leganes' next match is at home against Albacete Balompie on 7 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
LaLiga 2
