One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Le Havre (Wom)Kick-off0-0Paris (Wom)
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals Le Havre (Wom) 0.6 – 2.6 Paris (Wom). Most frequent scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-3 (12%), 0-1 (10%). Both teams score in 44% of the simulated matches.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
Le Havre (Wom)Paris (Wom)
Paris (Wom): the stronger side on our resultsP(strong
Le Havre (Wom): home advantage in this competitionLHclear
Paris (Wom): plays in a continental competition this season; such teams have done a little better in their other matches than our model expectedP(strong
Also considered
Paris (Wom): last match 4 days ago (short rest)
Paris (Wom): 3 matches in the last 14 days (busy schedule)
Paris (Wom): played a continental cup match away 4 days ago (travel)
In our past matches these circumstances did not measurably improve the prediction, so they do not change the percentages.
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Paris (Wom).
Table by result
Le Havre (Wom)7
A win can lift them as high as 5.
Win5–6Draw6Loss6–7
Paris (Wom)3Champions League
A win can lift them as high as 2.
Win2–3Draw3Loss3
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
In the table, Le Havre (Wom) sit 7th with 9 points and Paris (Wom) are 3rd with 16 points. 7 points separate the sides, with Paris (Wom) in front.
Paris (Wom) are 8 points behind the leaders.
Form guide
Le Havre (Wom)LDDDWParis (Wom)LWDDW
Over the last 5 matches, Le Havre (Wom) have collected 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat. Le Havre (Wom) are winless in 4. At home, Le Havre (Wom) have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 matches, with a goal tally of 6-12. Across 10 matches, Le Havre (Wom) have scored 1.2 and let in 2.0 goals per match on average.
Recent form for Paris (Wom): 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in 5, with 11 goals for and 5 against. Just 4 days ago Paris (Wom) were in the UEFA Champions League - Women, losing to Real Madrid (Wom)3-0. Paris (Wom)'s recent away record reads 2 wins and 3 defeats in 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 15. Goals have flowed in Paris (Wom)'s games: 7 of the last 10 produced at least three.
Previous meetings
Le Havre (Wom) and Paris (Wom) have met 10 times in our records: 10 wins for Paris (Wom). The last meeting, in 2026, went 4-0 to Paris (Wom). Le Havre (Wom) have lost each of the last 10 games against Paris (Wom).
Premiere Ligue, Women
