Paris Saint-Germain vs Barcelona: the story of the match
38' — Paris Saint-Germain took the lead: 1-0. Désiré Doué scored it. Half time: 1-0.
56' — Barcelona equalised: 1-1. Xavi Espart scored it. 73' — Paris Saint-Germain went back in front: 2-1. Lucas Hernández scored it. 80' — Barcelona equalised: 2-2. Lamine Yamal scored it. 82' — Paris Saint-Germain went back in front: 3-2. Vitinha scored it. 87' — Paris Saint-Germain extended the lead: 4-2. Fabián Ruiz scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Paris Saint-Germain won 4-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Paris Saint-GermainDrawBarcelona
Pre-match model estimate: Paris Saint-Germain 42%, draw 19%, Barcelona 39%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Paris Saint-Germain took the lead in the 38th minute: Désiré Doué, set up by João Neves. Half-time: 1-0, Paris Saint-Germain in front.
Barcelona drew level at 1-1 on 56 minutes thanks to Xavi Espart. Paris Saint-Germain went 2-1 up in the 73rd minute: Lucas Hernández. Barcelona drew level at 2-2 on 80 minutes thanks to Lamine Yamal. Paris Saint-Germain went 3-2 up in the 82nd minute: Vitinha. Late on, in the 87th minute, Paris Saint-Germain extended their lead to 4-2 through Fabián Ruiz.
Match statistics
On target it was 13-6, from 28 and 17 attempts respectively.
The bigger picture
Paris Saint-Germain stay 1st on 9 points. Barcelona drop from 2nd to 8th on 6 points. Paris Saint-Germain have now won 7 in a row. The result ends Barcelona's run of 10 straight wins.
What’s next
Paris Saint-Germain visit Le Havre next, on 30 October. Next up for Barcelona: home to Deportivo Alaves on Saturday 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
UEFA Champions League
